Wednesday, July 26, 2006

Low expectations and a quick look at the UAB schedule

In light of UAB being picked to finish fifth in the East in C-USA, I thought I'd run down the schedule and see what sort of shot I think we have.

Sept. 2 at Oklahoma

Sept. 9 East Carolina*#

Sept. 16 at Georgia

Sept. 23 Miss. St.

Sept. 30 Troy

Oct. 7 Memphis*#

Oct. 14 at Rice*

Oct. 21 Marshall*#

Oct. 31 at SMU*

Nov. 10 UTEP*

Nov. 18 at Southern Miss*#

Nov. 25 at UCF*#

* conference game
# division game

Games we will win: East Carolina, Mississippi State, Troy, Rice, SMU
Games we should win: Memphis, Marshall
Games we have a shot at winning, but probably won't: UTEP, UCF
Games that there is no way in hell we will win: Oklahoma (duh), UGA (again, duh), Southern Miss (what can I say, they own us)

At worst, we win five games and stay at home in December. At best, we win 9 and get a decent bowl bid. What's likely? Six wins and we stay home for the Birmingham Bowl. As far as conference strandings shake out, we probably will lose to Southern Miss and/or UCF and miss out on the conference championship game.


Blogger Nicole said...

I ask in stupidity, not in mocking - you think ya'll will beat Memphis? I guess I wouldn't have assumed that.

7:28 PM  
Blogger Todd Jones said...

We've owned Memphis six years running now, and now that DeAngelo is in the NFL...

7:32 PM  
Blogger Claudia said...

You think you could beat Ole Miss?

7:36 AM  
Blogger TNIRISHFAN said...

Hackney owned Memphis all 6 years he played for UAB(It seemed that long). Every time Memphis would be rolling along thinking they had themselves a pretty good season, UAB would step in and ruin it for them. With Hackney and DeAngelo gone, I don't know what to expect from that game.

7:54 AM  
Blogger Todd Jones said...

Claudia: With Hackney's downfield passing we'd have a pretty good shot, but ya'll's defense is too stout and ours too weak to try and play a power run/ball control against.

Muttonchops: Ya'll find yourselves in the same "the face of our program is gone, what now?" boat with us. If Watson will go with the power run/short, high percentage passing/ball control offense he was running in spring practice then it should carry us.

8:03 AM  
Blogger Nicole said...

That's surprising. Like I said, I really didn't know one way or the other.

Too bad you guys don't get to play Boolane this year. That would be an easy win.

5:37 PM  

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